Now that Born of the Gods has been out for a few weeks and we have seen how the cards perform, let’s see if we can project where the financial trends will take us. As a whole, this set is being compared to Dragon’s Maze in the sense that it doesn’t have many cards that impact constructed, but I think this will prove to be untrue as the set settles in to standard. With online redemption costing $25 now, I think we have seen Theros cards maintain more value than other sets in the past. I don’t think we will see the bottom fall out when redemption turns on like we have in the past. This also means that when a deck sees more play, it has a greater chance to increase in price since there are less physical copies available.
This is the most cost efficient of the archtypes, and giving all of your creatures trample is no joke. This effect is normally tacked on to a green creature or enchantment, and will usually run you an extra mana or 2 for the effect. On Archtype of Aggression, you are essentially getting it for free. Right now, the most useful application is trampling over Elspeth tokens. There isn’t any reason to speculate on these, but if the set ends up being under opened it could be difficult to find 4 after standard rotation.
This is a solid piece of removal. If you can reliably come up with the double black mana, it’s a nice upgrade to the typical -3/-3 removal for 2. It fits the bill for removing fast creatures, and occasionally it will blow your opponent out. Sometimes your opponent has to play around it and slows their development plan, giving you use out of the card without even having to cast it. The card has modern applications as well, hitting zoo, spirit tokens, goblin tokens, and splinter twin tokens. This will always be considered for a removal slot in black decks, so I don’t expect them to become any easier to come across. There’s no room for speculation, but if you need a playset to play with, you might as well pick them up now.
If Born of the Gods is the Dragon’s Maze of the block, then Brimaz is the Voice of Resurgence. Even if you’re not abusing his ability in some way, his power level is strong on its own. Brimaz is roughly comparable to Loxodon Smiter in power level, but the fact that he is mono white opens him up to more decks and will likely result in more play for the card. His token making ability will make him a consideration for brewers of token decks, adding even more to his demand. It’s possible that Brimaz could hit the $50 mark, but that still isn’t attractive enough for a speculator to get in. If you are waiting for Brimaz to drop, I don’t think you will see it happen much at all. I think he will continue to prove himself in standard , and even if he doesn’t there will be enough brewers to keep this card expensive.
The body combined with the effect is quite a good deal for the mana cost. Courser will have a home in standard most of the time, and some of the online Jund lists are running him, but I don’t believe he will be a staple that will constantly see play if you’re in green. In commander, players will prefer Oracle of Mul Daya. I expect his play to ebb and flow with what is good each week in standard, and I don’t believe he will find a permanent home in Modern, so his price will fluctuate with his performance. Right now the set supply is low, so if you are ok with waiting, I suspect the price will dip to $5 or $6 at some point.
There is a lot of talk about this card being good, and while I don’t think it is bad, I think it is too dependent on the board state to be in a tier 1 deck. Brewers may experiment with him for a while to come, but I don’t see his price going up and may dip to $2 in the coming months.
Ephara may have a hard time finding a home, and her effect isn’t anything we haven’t seen before. When I saw this card, I wasn’t inspired to build a deck around her. She could fit into a white aggro deck that helps keep the gas coming, but that puts her in a support role at that point, and not a reason someone wants to build a deck. If Ephara doesn’t find a home in a major deck fast, she is going to drop further and further towards $5.
While this card doesn’t currently have a home, if a red control deck surfaces this card will definitely be a part of it. It does something unique and powerful and gives red the ability to filter cards. It’s also the buy-a-box promo, so I don’t think prices can ever get above $3, but if you have any thoughts about building with this, I’d pick up a set now while it’s cheap in case it catches on.
When you cast Flame-Wreathed Phoenix, you are either going to get a slightly larger Chandra’s Phoenix for 1-mana more, or an irrelevant 5/5 flyer that the opponent is about to kill anyway. Red aggro decks would rather have Chandra’s Phoenix, and if a red control deck comes out, it might be a 1-of but that’s about it. I don’t care for the Phoenix, and I expect it to follow the same trajectory as Underworld Cerberus and end up at $3 or less by the time the next set comes out.
There has been a lot of talk about this card on various sites, mostly considering it for a slot in mono black control as a way to block Nightveil Specter. While I agree that it is a decent card, I have to disagree that it belongs in mono black. That deck is primarily a control deck, and the ability to gain cards off of Nightveil Specter allows you to build an overwhelming advantage if unanswered. Herald of Torment causes its controller to lose 1 life per turn, so I don’t like holding it back to block in a control shell, and I don’t think I would rather have it over the power of Nightveil Specter. There will be some brewing going on for quite a while due to the efficient mana cast and versatility of bestow, but I don’t think it will see any mainstream adoption. It may drop to $1 after a while, but that will probably take a while.
This unexciting god is just a pay day when opened out of a pack. I don’t hear of many people brewing with it, and the supply will outweigh the commander demand for quite a while. It appears that the floor for a god is currently $5, so I don’t think this has much further to fall.
There is a lot of brewing going on with Kiora, but so far she has not seen acceptance as a staple in a tier 1 deck. While I do find Kiora to be pretty decent, she does not have the ability to flood the board with 3 1/1 tokens every turn or perform a wrath impersonation. Of course, Elspeth costs 2 mana more, but her power has earned her a spot in the top of the metagame, while Kiora’s abilities do not seem on par even when considering the mana discount. I think if she was pushed and came in with 3 loyalty counters, there would be a lot more acceptance. There will be lots of players trying to use her, but I think eventually players will give up and she will fall to $15 in a few months and then $10 after that.
Mogis got a lot of hype at the start and has started trending downward since he hasn’t found a home yet. If he doesn’t find a home soon, he will continue his descent to the $5 bottom. If he shows up as a top performing deck, he will probably be $20, but such a deck will not likely stay at the top of the field for long and will inevitably spend some time sub $10. So if you can wait another month to pick him up, there is a good chance you can save some money.
This is a casual player’s dream come true. Its power level is quite pushed, begs to be built around, and can even be a great commander general. Right now supply outweighs demand, but in a few years that will dry up and this will be sought after. Even if a deck featuring this card deck never sees more than a single top 16 at a major event, players who love this effect will love building it, and that is a stronger driving force in a card’s value than its raw power. I don’t think this will dip lower than $8, but if it does I intend to trade for them for my long term portfolio. And even if it doesn’t, I find it to be a pretty good trade target from the spikes that just consider it a paycheck out of a booster pack. Foil copies are especially good targets. Historically, foil copies are at their cheapest about 1 – 2 months after set release.
I like this card quite a lot. It’s very similar to Searing Blaze and allows a red aggro deck to run attacks into bigger monsters without fear of having to waste removal finishing off a bigger creature instead of sending it to the dome. And if you get to kill a small creature with this without using combat, it’s a 2-for-1 in red. I don’t expect the card to go up any, but I do expect there to be demand for it in standard at various times when red aggro is good.
Right now this is just being seen as a legacy card, but there is actually a decent chance that this shows up in a powerful standard deck. The 3/1 body for 2 is good enough for tournament play, and even if the ability never does anything that might be enough for it to see play if the slot requires it. But what if a card comes out in the future that sees play in standard for drawing cards? That could push this card over the edge. In the short term, I anticipate this dropping to somewhere around $4 like Thalia did, but there is a possibility this hits $7 or more if such a metagame does unfold. I would consider trading for some of these when they hit $5 just to hedge my bets.
This is clearly the most in demand temple considering it’s nearly twice the price of the other 2. Players looking to play UW need 4 of these immediately, but as more packs get opened the price should drop. The temples in this set may hold their value a little more than Theros ones considering they will have less packs opened, so if you get the chance to trade a Theros temple for a Born of the Gods temple you should consider that a win. While temples won’t see much play in eternal formats, they make good additions to cubes, and if Wizards decides to give us a combo deck in standard in the next year even off color temples could see play to help find the combo. In summary, I expect this land will drop a few bucks as packs get opened, but don’t expect it to hit $3 like lands in years past.
There’s not much different to say about Temple of Malice that I didn’t already say about Temple of Enlightenment. I’ll just reiterate that the price probably won’t drop as low as one might expect even if it doesn’t have a deck playing it right now.
There was a lot of anticipation that GW would see play when the temple came out, but so far it hasn’t surface in any top 8s that I am aware of. Despite this, it’s still above $5. If a deck does emerge, and I certainly see that as a strong possibility at some point, it will jump. If you want these for your collection, don’t wait too long for the price to drop; it could spike on any given weekend and you probably only stand to save a dollar each on these by waiting.
Xenagos as a god is pretty strong, no doubt. I haven’t seen a ubiquitous inclusion in decks though. Some players opt for other top ends of their curve, and if there isn’t a consensus on this guy soon I expect him to move towards $10 as the set is opened. If Thassa can see as much play as she does and be $15, Xenagos will probably be around $10 in 3 months.
Thanks for joining me on this financial set review. I think the chance for sleeper hits are pretty low with this set, but I do think that the slow decline in prices might surprise some people. I look forward to revisiting this in a few months to see how things end up!